Most marketing predictions are safe.

They hedge.
They generalize.
They age poorly.

So I’m doing the opposite.

Here are 3 marketing trends I’m willing to bet my reputation on — not because they’re popular, but because I’m already seeing them work in real businesses with real money on the line.

If I’m wrong, you can quote this email back to me.

Let’s go.

1. Distribution Will Matter More Than Creativity (And That Will Upset People)

Creativity isn’t dead.
But it’s no longer the bottleneck.

The uncomfortable truth:

Average creative + elite distribution beats elite creative + average distribution. Every time.

Why?

  • Platforms are saturated.

  • Attention is fragmented.

  • Algorithms reward velocity, iteration, and signal strength — not perfection.

The winners aren’t asking “Is this our best idea?”
They’re asking “Can we ship this 10 times, test it across 5 channels, and compound the data?”

What this means for marketers:

  • Creative ops > creative genius

  • Systems > one-off ideas

  • Speed > polish

If your team can’t produce, test, and iterate fast — you’re already behind.

2. The Best Brands Will Feel More Like Media Companies Than Companies

Brands that only show up when they want to sell will lose.

The next generation of winners will:

  • Teach before they pitch

  • Entertain before they convert

  • Build trust before they need it

We’re moving from:

“How do we run better ads?”
to “How do we earn attention every day?”

This is why:

  • Founder-led content is exploding

  • Newsletters are becoming growth engines

  • Long-term audience > short-term ROAS

The brands that win will own an audience, not rent one.

If you disappear the moment someone stops seeing your ads, you don’t have a brand — you have a dependency.

3. Marketing Will Become Less About Channels — And More About Leverage

The smartest marketers I know aren’t obsessed with:

  • TikTok vs Instagram

  • SEO vs Ads

  • Email vs SMS

They’re obsessed with leverage.

Leverage looks like:

  • One idea → 20 assets

  • One insight → weeks of content

  • One system → compounding results

The question is no longer:

“What channel should we be on?”

It’s:

“How do we turn insight into an unfair advantage?”

The future belongs to marketers who think in systems, not tactics.

Trends don’t matter unless you act on them.

If you’re:

  • Still chasing hacks

  • Still optimizing in silos

  • Still treating marketing as execution instead of strategy

You’re playing yesterday’s game.

I’ll stand by these predictions — because I’m already building around them.

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